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# Time-varying reproduction number for Germany
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Data for Germany were fitted to the cumulative number of reported cases in a sliding time window with a size of one week. The transmission rate $`R_1`$ was varied to fit to the data. Parameter sets were randomly sampled within the specified ranges (see parameter values, parameter set from literature) and, upon refitting, this induced a variability of reported $`R_t`$ values. The box plot shows the 25 and 75 percentiles as well as the min and the max values. Outliers were removed.
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![Germany_iter_104](https://gitlab.com/simm/covid19/secir/raw/master/img/dynamic/Germany_iter_104.png)
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![Germany_iter_104](https://gitlab.com/simm/covid19/secir/raw/master/img/dynamic/Rt_distribution/Germany.png)
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# Evolution of reproduction number for federal states of Germany
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The same analysis as in the previous section was performed for all federal state in Germany separately.
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