Table of Contents
- Shortlist by Edzo
- Definitions
- Videos
-
Books
- Books - Taleb
- Books - Organization Design
- Books - Probability
-
Books - Antifragile and Organizations
- "Antifragile Organisation Design" by Kastner, Dennis 2017
- "Antifragile Systems and Teams" by Zwieback, Dave 2014
- "The Antifragile Organisation: An Executive Briefing: An uncommon, hands-on guide to complexity, simplicity, chaos, and thriving in unpredictability."
- "Building Anti-Fragile Organisations: Risk, Opportunity and Governance in a Turbulent World."
- "Reinventing Organizations."
- "Resilient by design - Creating Businesses That Adapt and Flourish in a Changing World."
- "Big is Fragile: An Attempt at Theorizing Scale"
-
Books - Antifragile and Software Engineering
- "The Labyrinths of Information" by Ciborra, Claudio 2002
- "Anti-fragile ICT Systems." by Kjell Jørgen Hole 2016
- "The Anti-Fragility Edge: Antifragility in Practice."
- "Refactoring: Improving the Design of Existing Code."
- "Toyota Kata: Managing People for Improvement, Adaptiveness and Superior Results."
- "Antifragile Software - Building adaptable software with microservices."
- Books - other
-
Papers
- Papers - Antifragile by Taleb
- Papers - Antifragile and Engineering
- Papers - Antifragile and Software Engineering
- Papers - Antifragile and Biology
- Papers - Antifragile and Scale
- Papers - Antifragile and Risk Management
- Papers - Antifragile and Organisations
- Papers - Antifragile and Psychology
- Papers - find citations with Google Scholar
-
Papers in bibtex (to be merged in this page)
- "Mathematical Definition, Mapping, and Detection of (Anti) Fragility" by Taleb 2013
- "The Fall and Rise of Strategic Planning" by Mintzberg 1994
- "Randomness: Rethinking the foundation of probability" by Liu 2002
- "Randomness in quantum mechanics: philosophy, physics and technology" by Bera 2017
- "Catastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks" by Buldyrev 2010
- "On some recent definitions and analysis frameworks for risk, vulnerability, and resilience" by Aven 2011
- "The risk concept—historical and recent development trends" by Aven 2012
- "The Concept of Antifragility and its Implications for the Practice of Risk Analysis" by Aven 2015
- "Risk, vulnerability, robustness, and resilience from a decision-theoretic perspective" by Scholz 2012
- "Recommendations for Design against Disproportionate Collapse of Structures" by Starossek 2010
- "The Bellagio Initiative, background paper, Resilience: A Literature Review" by Martin-Breen and Anderies 2011
- "Engineering resilience versus ecological resilience" by Holling 1996
- "Resilience, adaptability and transformability in social--ecological systems" by Walker 2004
- "To Master Disaster: How SME managers can thrive and benefit from economic crises" by Henriksson 2016
- "International Conference on Business Information Systems" by Muller 2013
- "Resilience thinking: integrating resilience, adaptability and transformability" by Folke 2010
- "Review of Resilience Research" by Santos 2012
- "From Resilience to the Design of Antifragility" by Passos, Coelho and Sarti 2018
- "Analysis of the Definitions of Resilience" by Wang 2017
- "An alternative view to assessing antifragility in an organisation: A case study in a manufacutring SME." by Kennon, Schutte and Lutters 2015
- "A framework for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science." by Turner 2003
- "Stress and disorders of the stress system." by Chrousos, George P 2009
- "Coupled and complex: Human--environment interaction in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, USA" by Bennett, David and McGinnis, David 2008
- "Antifragility analysis and measurement framework for systems of systems" by Johnson, John and Gheorghe, Adrian V 2013
- "Preparing for the future: Development of an ‘antifragile’ methodology that complements scenario planning by omitting causation." by Derbyshire, James and Wright, George 2014
- "Evaluating organizational antifragility via fuzzy logic. The case of an iranian company producing banknotes and security paper." by Ghasemi, Ahmadreza and Alizadeh, Mitra 2017
- "The Fractography and Crack Patterns of Broken Glass" by Bradt, Richard C. 2011
- "Antifragile Information Systems" by Gorgeon, Arnaud 2015
- "The new dynamics of strategy: Sense-making in a complex and complicated world" by Kurtz, Cynthia F and Snowden, David J 2003
- Collection of papers
- Online Publications (blogs etc)
- Awesomelist
- Collections of tweets and quotes
- To Sort
- Deadlinks - wiki Antifragile
Shortlist by Edzo
Papers - Antifragile and Risk Management
-
Article: "The Concept of Antifragility and its Implications for the Practice of Risk Analysis." by Terje Aven
- Journal Article published Mar 2015 in Risk Analysis volume 35 issue 3 on pages 476 to 483
- DOI: 10.1111/RISA.12279 ; Researchgate ; Publisher
- found via wiki Antifragile
-
Article: "Preparing for the future: Development of an ‘antifragile’ methodology that complements scenario planning by omitting causation." by James Derbyshire, George Wright
- Journal Article published Feb 2014 in Technological Forecasting and Social Change volume 82 on pages 215 to 225
- DOI: 10.1016/J.TECHFORE.2013.07.001 ;
Researchgate ;
Publisher
- the abstract states "t describes how this approach can be implemented in a workshop setting."
- found via Google
- found via wiki Antifragile
Books - Antifragile and Organizations
- "Antifragile Organisation Design: A framework of Self-Organisation practices in today's complex and unpredictable economy."
by Dennis Kastner- Book published July 23, 2017 ([Goodreads][antifragile-book-03]), ([Amazon][antifragile-book-03b])
- DOI ? ; Researchgate ? ; ASIN B0746J5RXJ ; ISBN10 ? ; ISBN13 ?
- The Master's thesis by Dennis Kastner focuses on Resilience in Complex Adaptive Systems and Nassim Taleb’s concept of 'Antifragility'
- developed the 'Antifragile Organisational Design' framework
- found via Google
Definitions
- Wiki - Antifragility
- Wiki - AntiFragile
- Paper - Modern TRIZ and the Concept of Antifragility. Friends, Enemies or Frenemies?
Videos
Video Playlist
Youtube playlist of YT video's listed below
Videos on AntiFragile
- Stanford University- Nassim Taleb: How Things Gain from Disorder
- Concordia University - Nassim Nicholas Taleb: How to Live in a World we Don't Understand
- Microsoft Research - Antifragile: Things that Gain from Disorder
- Talks at Google - Nassim Nicholas Taleb: "Skin in the Game" | Talks at Google
- RSA - Antifragile - Nassim Nicholas Taleb
- Penguin Books UK - Nassim Nicholas Taleb explains Antifragile
- Digital Shoreditch - Nassim N. Taleb - Antifragile, or how things gain from disorder.
- Al Jazeera - Nassim N. Taleb - Embracing 'antifragility'
- N N Taleb's Probability Moocs - Antifragility and Dose-Response in Nature ( Nassim Taleb's Antifragile ), Note #1
Videos which Source doubtfull
- Practical Psychology - Antifragile: Things That Gain From Disorder - Nassim Taleb - Animated Book Review
- ReasonTV - Nassim Taleb Talks Antifragile, Libertarianism, and Capitalism's Genius for Failure
- FightMediocrity - Antifragile by Nassim Taleb animated book review
- Joe Rogan Universe - Joe Rogan - ANTIFRAGILITY for KIDS | "There's a lot of parents who tune out..."
Videos on Complexity
- Complexity Labs - Applying Complexity Science to Building The Blockchain Economy A Presentation
- The Royal Institution - The Future of Humanity - with Yuval Noah Harari
- Talks at Google - Yuval Noah Harari: "21 Lessons for the 21st Century"
- GOTO 2014 - From 'Agile Hangover' to 'Antifragile Organisations' • Russ Miles
Books
Books - Taleb
"Fooled by Randomness" by Taleb, Nassim Nicholas 2001
@Book{ book-taleb-2001,
title = {Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets},
author = {Taleb, Nassim Nicholas},
publisher = {Cengage Learning},
isbn = {1587990717,9781587990717},
year = {2001},
month = {11},
edition = {1},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/236383.Fooled_by_Randomness}
and
\url{https://www.amazon.de/Fooled-Randomness-Hidden-Chance-Markets/dp/1587990717/}
}
}
"The Black Swan" by Taleb, Nassim Nicholas 2007
@book{ book-taleb-2007,
title = {The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable},
author = {Taleb, Nassim Nicholas},
publisher = { Random House},
isbn = {1400063515, 9781400063512},
year = {2007},
month = {5},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/242472.The_Black_Swan}
and
\url{https://www.amazon.de/Black-Swan-Improbable-Robustness-Fragility/dp/1400063515/}
}
}
"Antifragile" by Taleb, Nassim Nicholas 2012
1. [Goodreads][antifragile-book-10]), ([Amazon][antifragile-book-10b]), ([hungary pdf][antifragile-book-10c]
1. Book Review: ["Antifragile, By Nassim Nicholas Taleb"][antifragile-book-10-review-01].
The Independent. 24 November 2012. Retrieved 3 November 2017.
1. Book Review: ["Nassim Taleb's Cure for Fragility"][antifragile-book-10-review-02].
Hbr.org. Retrieved 3 November 2017.
1. Book Review: ["Antifragility: How disorder makes us stronger"][antifragile-book-10-review-03].
Fortune. Retrieved 3 November 2017.
1. Book Review: ["'Antifragile,' by Nassim Nicholas Taleb"][antifragile-book-10-review-04].
Kakutani, Michiko (16 December 2012). New York Times. Retrieved 3 November 2017.
1. Book Review: ["Stress best"][antifragile-book-10-review-05].
The Economist. Retrieved 3 November 2017.
1. Book Review: ["Nassim Taleb's 'Antifragile' Celebrates Randomness In People, Markets"][antifragile-book-10-review-06].
Sizemore, Charles. Forbes. Retrieved 3 November 2017.
1. Book Review: ["Not Fooled by Randomness - BOOK REVIEW"][antifragile-book-10-review-07].
Michael Shermer (13-01-2009). Skeptic.com. 9 January 2013. Retrieved 3 November 2017.
1. Book Review: ["Left Field From Michael Lewis to Montaigne, the best writers first live an interesting life"][antifragile-book-10-review-08] ([pdf][antifragile-book-10-review-09]).
Ed Smith. Fooledbyrandomness.com. Retrieved 3 November 2017.
1. Book Review: ["Gold Not 'Antifragile' Enough for 'Black Swan'"][antifragile-book-10-review-10].
Michael Santoli. Finance.yahoo.com. Retrieved 3 November 2017.
1. Book Review: ["From the Black Swan to antifragility how to survive – and thrive – in a world we don’t – can’t – understand"][antifragile-book-10-review-11].
Lorenzo Savorelli. GENERALI GROUP MAGAZINE series 11 NUMBER 10 POSTE ITALIANE S.P.A. - il bollettino - March 2012
@book{ book-taleb-2012,
title = {Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder},
author = {Taleb, Nassim Nicholas},
publisher = {Random House},
isbn = {1400067820,9781400067824},
year = {2012},
month = {11},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/13530973-antifragile}
and
\url{https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1400067820/}
},
keywords = {Antifragile}
}
Books - Organization Design
"Management 3.0" by Appelo, Jurgen 2010
@book{ book-Appelo-2010,
title = {Management 3.0: Leading Agile Developers, Developing Agile Leaders},
author = {Appelo, Jurgen},
publisher = {Addison-Wesley Professional},
isbn = {0321718992,9780321718990},
year = {2010},
month = {12},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/10210821-management-3-0}
and
\url{https://www.amazon.com/Management-3-0-Developers-Developing-Addison-Wesley/dp/0321712471/}
},
keywords = {Agile, Organisation, Societie 3.0}
}
"Foundations of Enterprise Governance and Enterprise Engineering" by Hoogervorst, Jan AP 2017
@book{ book-hoogervorst-2017,
title = {Foundations of Enterprise Governance and Enterprise Engineering - Presenting the Employee-Centric Theory of Organization},
author = {Hoogervorst, Jan AP},
publisher = {Springer},
year = {2017},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-72107-1},
doi = {10.1007/978-3-319-72107-1},
isbn = {978-3-319-72106-4},
timestamp = {Thu, 29 Mar 2018 14:05:53 +0200},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.springer.com/gp/book/9783319721064}
},
abstract={
This book outlines the important foundational insights for enterprise governance and enterprise engineering, which are obviously provided by the social and organization sciences, but also by other sciences such as philosophy and information technology. It presents an employee-centric theory of organization in order to secure enterprise performance and also to comply with moral considerations about society and human individuals. This is necessary as prescriptions based on ‘best practices’ or the ‘best managed companies’ are often merely anecdotal, faddish, or controversial, and based on unsubstantiated pseudo-theories.
The book consists of four main chapters, the first of which summarizes the importance of foundational insights for enterprises and explains the mutual relationships between the basic elements of enterprise governance and enterprise engineering. Next, chapter 2 explains the necessary philosophical foundations concerning knowledge, truth, language, and human existence. Subsequently, chapter 3 describes the ontological foundation and the nature of society and enterprises, as understanding their characteristics is a prerequisite for understanding and designing enterprises. Finally, chapter 4 approaches ideological foundations as beliefs and convictions, as they create specific requirements for the design of enterprises. In this way, the book covers all the cornerstones of the employee-centric theory of organization, drawing on foundational insights.
The book is mainly intended for students specializing in areas such as business administration, management and organization science, governance, and enterprise and information systems design. However, professionals working in these areas will also benefit from the book, as it allows them to gain a deeper understanding of the theoretical foundations of their work and will thus help them to avoid strategic failures due to a lack of coherence and consistency between the various parts of their organization.
}
}
"Organization Theory and Design" by Daft, R.L. and Murphy, J. and Willmott, H. 2010
@book{ book-daft-2010,
title={Organization Theory and Design},
author={Daft, R.L. and Murphy, J. and Willmott, H.},
isbn={9781844809905},
lccn={2009921278},
series={Organization Theory and Design},
url={https://books.google.nl/books?id=s6MAkpcuaZQC},
year={2010},
publisher={South-Western Cengage Learning},
note={
Retrieved from
\url{https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Richard_L._Daft}
},
abstract = {
The market-leading textbook on organization theory reaches a new level with Richard L. Daft being joined by Jonathan Murphy and Hugh Willmott (both Cardiff Business School) to provide an unparalleled resource for students in Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA). After listening to the requirements of lecturers, the authors have added diverse global examples – featuring such organizations as AirAsia, Philips NV, Carrefour, Bedlam Games and Circus Oz – and cases supplied from a range of international academics. Students will benefit from a boosted critical focus, carefully threaded into the hallmark structure using a new “Counterpoint” feature, while a fully adapted set of lecturer and student resources makes this the complete textbook for modern courses.
}
}
"The rise and fall of strategic planning" by Mintzberg, Henry 1994
@book{ book-mintzberg-1994,
title={The rise and fall of strategic planning : reconceiving roles for planning, plans, planners},
author={Mintzberg, Henry},
year={1994},
month={02},
isbn={9780029216057},
publisher={Free Press ; Maxwell Macmillan Canada},
place={New York; Toronto},
note = {
Retrieved from:
\url{http://www.worldcat.org/oclc/28675146},
\url{https://openlibrary.org/books/OL24832559M}
\url{https://archive.org/details/risefallofstra00mint}
},
abstract={
Mintzberg traces the origin and history of strategic planning through its prominence and subsequent fall. He argues that we must reconcieve the process by which strategies are created by emphasizing informal learning and personal vision. Mintzberg proposes new definitions of planning and strategy, and examines in unusual ways the various models of strategic planning and the evidence of why they failed. Reviewing the so-called 'pitfalls' of planning, he shows how the process itself can destroy commitment, narrow a company's vision, discourage change and breed an atmosphere of politics. In a harsh critique of many sacred cows, he describes three basic fallacies of the process - in that discontinuities can be predicted, that strategists can be detached from the operations of the organisation, and that the process of strategy-making itself can be formalized.
}
}
Books - Probability
"The Taming of Chance" by Hacking, Ian 1990
@book{ book-Hacking-1990,
title = {The Taming of Chance},
year = {1990},
month={11},
isbn = {9780521388849},
author = {Hacking, Ian },
publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
abstract = {
In this important study Ian Hacking continues the enquiry into the origins and development of certain characteristic modes of contemporary thought undertaken in such previous works as the best-selling The Emergence of Probability. Professor Hacking shows how by the late-nineteenth century it became possible to think of statistical patterns as explanatory in themselves, and to regard the world as not necessarily deterministic in character. In the same period the idea of human nature was displaced by a model of normal people with laws of dispersion. These two parallel transformations fed into each other, so that chance made the world seem less capricious: it was legitimated because it brought order out of chaos. Combining detailed scientific historical research with characteristic philosophic breadth and verve, The Taming of Chance brings out the relations between philosophy, the physical sciences, mathematics and the development of social institutions, and provides a unique and authoritative analysis of the 'probabilisation' of the western world.
}
}
"Creating modern probability" by Von Plato, Jan 1994
@book{ book-plato-1994,
title={Creating modern probability: Its mathematics, physics and philosophy in historical perspective},
author={Von Plato, Jan},
year={1994},
isbn = {9780511609107},
ULR = {https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511609107},
DOI = {10.1017/CBO9780511609107},
publisher={Cambridge University Press},
place={Cambridge},
series={Cambridge Studies in Probability, Induction and Decision Theory},
collection={Cambridge Studies in Probability, Induction and Decision Theory},
abstract={
This is the only book to chart the history and development of modern probability theory. It shows how in the first thirty years of this century probability theory became a mathematical science. The author also traces the development of probabilistic concepts and theories in statistical and quantum physics. There are chapters dealing with chance phenomena, and current major mathematical theories, together with their foundational and philosophical problems. Among the theorists whose work is treated at some length are Kolmogorov, von Mises and de Finetti.
}
}
Books - Antifragile and Organizations
"Antifragile Organisation Design" by Kastner, Dennis 2017
@book{ org-thesis-Kastner-2017,
title = {Antifragile Organisation Design: A framework of Self-Organisation practices in today's complex and unpredictable economy.},
author = {Kastner, Dennis},
year = {2017},
month = {07},
publisher = {Amazon},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/37703370-antifragile-organisation-design}
and
\url{https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B0746J5RXJ/}
},
abstract = {
not yet found
}
}
"Antifragile Systems and Teams" by Zwieback, Dave 2014
@book{ book-zwieback-2014,
title = {Antifragile Systems and Teams},
author = {Zwieback, Dave},
publisher = {O'Reilly Media},
isbn = {1400067820,9781400067824},
year = {2014},
month = {04},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/22466476-antifragile-systems-and-teams}
and
\url{https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B00KQVXTL0/}
},
keywords = {Antifragile, DevOps, Organisation}
}
"The Antifragile Organisation: An Executive Briefing: An uncommon, hands-on guide to complexity, simplicity, chaos, and thriving in unpredictability."
by Jim Foster 1. Book published June 9th 2014 (Goodreads) 2. DOI ? ; Researchgate ? ; ASIN B00KWDC8QY ; ISBN10 ? ; ISBN13 ? 1. found via Google
"Building Anti-Fragile Organisations: Risk, Opportunity and Governance in a Turbulent World."
by Tony Bendell 1. Book published 22 Apr 2016 (Goodreads), (Amazon), (Google Books) 1. DOI 10.4324/9781315570426 ; Researchgate ? ; ASIN ? ; ISBN10 1472413881 ; ISBN13 978-1472413888 ; Publisher 1. Book Review: Tony Bendell, Building Anti-fragile Organisations—Risk, Opportunity and Governance in a Turbulent World by Debi S. Saini 1. Journal Article published Jun 2015 in Vision: The Journal of Business Perspective volume 19 issue 2 on pages 179 to 180 1. DOI: 10.1177/0972262915575664 ; Researchgate 1. found via Google
"Reinventing Organizations."
by Frederic Laloux 1. Nelson Parker published February 9th 2014 (Goodreads), (Amazon), (PDF),(Homepage), (Homepage-resources), (Homepage-wiki) 1. DOI: 10.15358/9783800649143 ; Researchgate: ? ; ASIN B00ICS9VI4 ; ISBN1- ? ; ISBN13 ?; Publisher 1. found via Google
"Resilient by design - Creating Businesses That Adapt and Flourish in a Changing World."
by Joseph Fiksel 1. Island Press published October 13th 2015 (Goodreads), (Amazon),(PDF) 1. DOI: ? ; Researchgate: ? ; ASIN: ? ; ISBN: 1610915879 ; ISBN13: 9781610915878;
"Big is Fragile: An Attempt at Theorizing Scale"
by Atif Ansar; Bent Flyvbjerg; Alexander Budzier; Daniel Lunn 1.Book Published 2016. The Oxford Handbook of Megaproject Management, Oxford University Press. ([Goodreads]), ([Amazon]),(Publisher), (PDF) 1. DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780198732242.013.5 ; Researchgate ? ; ASIN ? ; ISBN10 0198732242 ; ISBN13 9780198732242 ; SSRN 2741198 1. found via wiki Antifragile
Books - Antifragile and Software Engineering
"The Labyrinths of Information" by Ciborra, Claudio 2002
@book{ book-ciborra-2002,
title={The Labyrinths of Information: Challenging the Wisdom of Systems},
author={Ciborra, Claudio},
year = {2002},
month = {01},
publisher={Oxford University Press},
place={Oxford},
pages={212},
DOI = {10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199275267.001.0001},
URL = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199275267.001.0001},
isbn= {9780199275267},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.oxfordscholarship.com/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199275267.001.0001/acprof-9780199275267}
and
\url{https://www.researchgate.net/publication/30522510_The_Labyrinths_of_Information_Challenging_the_Wisdom_of_Systems}
},
abstract ={
The use of information and communication technologies (ICT) in organizations and the management of their impact has been the traditional domain of computer specialists and management consultants. The former have offered multiple ways to represent, model, and build applications that streamline and accelerate data flows, while the latter have been busy linking the deployment of ICTs with strategy and the redesign of business processes. This book takes quite a different approach altogether. It uses a string of metaphors, such as Bricolage, Krisis, Gestell, etc., to place a concern for human existence and our working lives at the centre of the study of ICTs and their diffusion in business organizations, and looks at our practices, improvisations, and moods. It draws upon the author's own extensive research and consulting experience to throw a fresh light on some key questions: why are systems ambiguous? Why do they not give us more time to do things? Is there strategic value in tinkering even in high-tech settings? What is the value of age-old practices in dealing with new technologies? What is the role of moods and affections in influencing action and cognition? The book presents an alternative to the current approaches in management, software-engineering, and strategy.
}
}
"Anti-fragile ICT Systems." by Kjell Jørgen Hole 2016
@book{ book-hole-2016,
author = {Hole, Kjell J{\o}rgen},
title = {Anti-fragile Cloud Solutions},
bookTitle = {Anti-fragile ICT Systems},
series = {Simula SpringerBriefs on Computing},
year = {2016},
month={03},
isbn = {9783319300689},
publisher = {Springer International Publishing},
address = {Cham},
DOI = {10.1007/978-3-319-30070-2},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-30070-2},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/28653187-anti-fragile-ict-systems},
\url{https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/3319300687}
and
\url{https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007%2F978-3-319-30070-2_2}
},
abstract = {
This book introduces a novel approach to the design and operation of large ICT systems. It views the technical solutions and their stakeholders as complex adaptive systems and argues that traditional risk analyses cannot predict all future incidents with major impacts. To avoid unacceptable events, it is necessary to establish and operate anti-fragile ICT systems that limit the impact of all incidents, and which learn from small-impact incidents how to function increasingly well in changing environments.
The book applies four design principles and one operational principle to achieve anti-fragility for different classes of incidents. It discusses how systems can achieve high availability, prevent malware epidemics, and detect anomalies. Analyses of Netflix’s media streaming solution, Norwegian telecom infrastructures, e-government platforms, and Numenta’s anomaly detection software show that cloud computing is essential to achieving anti-fragility for classes of events with negative impacts.
}
}
"The Anti-Fragility Edge: Antifragility in Practice."
by Si Alhir
1. Lid Publishing published December 6th 2016 (Goodreads), (Amazon), (Homepage), (Testimonials)
2. DOI ? ; Researchgate ? ; ASIN ? ; ISBN10 ? ; ISBN13 ?
1. found via Google
"Refactoring: Improving the Design of Existing Code."
by Martin Fowler 1. Addison-Wesley Professional published January 1st 1999 (Goodreads), (Amazon) 2. DOI ? ; Researchgate ? ; ASIN ? ; ISBN10 ? ; ISBN13 ? 1. found via Google
"Toyota Kata: Managing People for Improvement, Adaptiveness and Superior Results."
by Mike Rother
1. McGraw-Hill Education published September 1st 2009 (Goodreads), (Amazon)
2. DOI ? ; Researchgate ? ; ASIN ? ; ISBN10 ? ; ISBN13 ?
1. found via Google
"Antifragile Software - Building adaptable software with microservices."
by Russ Miles, Grant tarrant-fisher,Sylvian Hellegouarhc 1. LeanPub published 2016-02-08 (Goodreads), (leanPub), (Scribed), (PDF) 2. DOI ? ; Researchgate ? ; ASIN ? ; ISBN10 ? ; ISBN13 ? 1. found via Google
Books - other
"The Antifragile Grid."
by Seyi Fabode 1. Book published July 30, 2017 (Goodreads), (Amazon) 1. DOI ? ; Researchgate ? ; ASIN B072875DFJ ; ISBN10 ? ; ISBN13 ? 1. found via Google
"What I Learned Losing a Million Dollars."
by Jim Paul, Brendan Moynihan, Jack Schwager 1. Monograph published 30 Apr 2013 (Goodreads), (Amazon), (Columbia Press) 1. DOI 10.7312/COLUMBIA/9780231164689.001.0001 ; Researchgate ? ; ASIN ? ; ISBN10 ? ; ISBN13 ? 2. found via wiki Antifragile
Papers
Papers - Antifragile by Taleb
-
Article : "Mathematical Definition, Mapping, and Detection of (Anti)Fragility."
by Nassim N. Taleb, R. Douady- Journal Article published Nov 2013 in Quantitative Finance volume 13 issue 11 on pages 1677 to 1689
- Documents de travail du Centre d’Economie de la Sorbonne 2014.93 - ISSN : 1955-611X. 2014.
- DOI 10.1080/14697688.2013.800219 ;
Researchgate ; Arxiv ; HAL hal-01151340 - "We provide a mathematical definition of fragility and antifragility as negative or positive sensitivity to a semi-measure of dispersion and volatility (a variant of negative or positive "vega") and examine the link to nonlinear effects. We integrate model error (and biases) into the fragile or antifragile context. Unlike risk, which is linked to psychological notions such as subjective preferences (hence cannot apply to a coffee cup) we offer a measure that is universal and concerns any object that has a probability distribution (whether such distribution is known or, critically, unknown). We propose a detection of fragility, robustness, and antifragility using a single "fast-and-frugal", model-free, probability free heuristic that also picks up exposure to model error. The heuristic lends itself to immediate implementation, and uncovers hidden risks related to company size, forecasting problems, and bank tail exposures (it explains the forecasting biases). While simple to implement, it improves on stress testing and bypasses the common flaws in Value-at-Risk."
- found via Google
- Journal Article published Nov 2013 in Quantitative Finance volume 13 issue 11 on pages 1677 to 1689
-
"Philosophy: 'Antifragility' as a mathematical idea."
by Nassim N. Taleb -
Journal Article published Feb 2013 in Nature volume 494 issue 7438 on pages 430 to 430
-
DOI 10.1038/494430e ; Researchgate ; Publisher
- found via wiki Antifragile
Papers - Antifragile and Engineering
-
Article: "Engineering Antifragile Systems: A Change In Design Philosophy."
by Kennie H. Jones- Journal Article published 2014 in Procedia Computer Science volume 32 on pages 870 to 875
- DOI: 10.1016/J.PROCS.2014.05.504 ; Researchgate ; Publisher ; NASA - pdf
- found via Google
- found via wiki Antifragile
-
Paper: "Modern TRIZ and the Concept of Antifragility. Friends, Enemies or Frenemies?"
by Oleg Feygenson, Naum Feygenson- Conference Paper (PDF Available) · September 2017 The 13th International Conference. TRIZfest-2017
- DOI: ? ; Researchgate
- TRIZ = Theory of Inventive Problem Solving
- found via Google
-
"From Resilience to the Design of Antifragility."
by Danielle Sandler dos Passos, Helder Coelho- PESARO 2018 : The Eighth International Conference on Performance, Safety and Robustness in Complex Systems and Applications
- DOI: ? ; Researchgate: ? ; Publisher - pdf ; Homepage
- "Resilience has been highlighted for the last
few years as one of the most important mechanisms of
survival and evolution of systems. However, with the
complexity and exponential advance of Information and
Communication Technologies (ICT), volatility,
uncertainty and disorder have become constant in our
daily lives, creating the need for adjustments and
improvements in resilience, in order to maintain its
efficiency. As a consequence, various skills, such as
adaptation, learning, self-organization and others, have
been added to it, increasing it to antifragility. Focusing
on this process of evolution, this work confronts the
dissociation between resilience and antifragility, proving
in the end, that antifragility is the resilience in its most
advanced form."
- found via Google
-
Paper: "Design for Robustness, Resilience and Anti-Fragility in the Built and Urban Environment: Considerations from a Civil Engineering Point of View."
by Franco Bontempi, Francesco Petrini, Konstantinos Gkoumas- Conference Paper October 2015 DCEE4 - 4th International Workshop on Design in Civil and Environmental Engineering, At Taiwan, Volume: Proceedings of the 4th International Workshop on Design in Civil and Environmental Engineering
- DOI: ? ; Researchgate ; Researchgate - pdf ; Slideshare - pdf ;
- found via Google
-
Article: "Complexity, Flow, and Antifragile Healthcare Systems."
by Thomas R. Clancy- Journal Article published Apr 2015 in JONA: The Journal of Nursing Administration volume 45 issue 4 on pages 188 to 191
- DOI: 10.1097/NNA.0000000000000182 ; Researchgate ; Publisher
- found via Google
-
Article: "Antifragile Communications."
by Marc Lichtman, Matthew T. Vondal, T. Charles Clancy, Jeffrey H. Reed- published 18 February 2016 ; Journal Article published Mar 2018 in IEEE Systems Journal volume 12 issue 1 on pages 659 to 670
- DOI: 10.1109/JSYST.2016.2517164 ; Researchgate ; Publisher
- found via Google
- found via wiki Antifragile
-
Paper: "Reactive jammer piggybacking: Achieving antifragile electronic warfare."
by Marc Lichtman, T. Charles Clancy, Jeffrey H. Reed- Conference Paper · November 2016 MILCOM 2016 - 2016 IEEE Military Communications Conference (MILCOM)
- DOI: 10.1109/MILCOM.2016.7795361 ; Researchgate ; Publisher
- found via Google
-
Article: "Detecting antifragile decisions and models lessons from a conceptual analysis model of Service Life Extension of aging vehicles."
by Jeffrey S. Levin, Steven P. Brodfuehrer, William M. Kroshl- Proceedings Article published Mar 2014 in 2014 IEEE International Systems Conference Proceedings
- DOI: 10.1109/SYSCON.2014.6819271 ; Researchgate ; Publisher
- found via wiki Antifragile
-
Article: "Applying Systems and Safety Engineering Principles for Antifragility."
by Eric Verhulsta- Journal Article published 2014 in Procedia Computer Science volume 32 on pages 842 to 849
- DOI: 10.1016/J.PROCS.2014.05.500 ; Researchgate ; Publisher
- found via wiki Antifragile
-
Article: "Asymmetric Coulomb fluids at randomly charged dielectric interfaces: Anti-fragility, overcharging and charge inversion."
by Ali Naji, Malihe Ghodrat, Haniyeh Komaie-Moghaddam, Rudolf Podgornik- Journal Article published 7 Nov 2014 in The Journal of Chemical Physics volume 141 issue 17 on page 174704
- DOI: 10.1063/1.4898663 ; Researchgate ; Publisher ; Arxiv - pdf
- found via wiki Antifragile
-
"The use of antifragility heuristics in transport planning."
by Isted, Richard- Australian Institute of Traffic Planning and Management (AITPM) National Conference, 2014, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia (No. 3).
- DOI: ? ; 1. Researchgate: ? ; Publisher ; Slideshare
- found via wiki Antifragile
Papers - Antifragile and Software Engineering
-
Article: "Toward Antifragile Cloud Computing Infrastructures."
by Amal Abid, Mouna Torjmen Khemakhem, Soumaya Marzouk, Maher Ben Jemaa, Thierry Monteil, Khalil Drira- Journal Article published 2014 in Procedia Computer Science volume 32 on pages 850 to 855
- DOI: 10.1016/J.PROCS.2014.05.501 ; Researchgate ; Publisher
- found via wiki Antifragile
-
"A Multilayer Structure Facilitates the Production of Antifragile Systems in Boolean Network Models." by Hyobin Kim, Omar K. Pineda, Carlos Gershenson 2. Preprint · February 2019
- DOI: ? ; Researchgate ; Arxiv - pdf
- "Antifragility is a property to resist stress and furthermore benefit from it [1]. Although the notion of antifragility has been extensively used in many areas such as risk analysis [2, 3], physics [4], molecular biology [5, 6], transportation [7, 8], engineering [9-11], and computer science [12-15], a practical quantitative measure of antifragility had not been developed. For that reason, using random Boolean networks (RBNs) and biological BNs, we recently proposed a novel metric that quantifies antifragility [16]."
-
Paper: "Antifragile Information Systems." // "Anti-Fragile Information Systems (Completed Research Paper)." by Arnaud Gorgeon
- Conference Paper · December 2015 Conference: International Conference on Information Systems, At Fort Worth
- DOI: ? ; Researchgate ; Publisher ; Semantic Scholar - pdf ; BSahely - pdf
- https://dblp.org/pers/hd/g/Gorgeon:Arnaud
- found via wiki Antifragile
-
Article: "Principles of Antifragile Software." by Martin Monperrus
- Proceedings Article published 2017 in Proceedings of the International Conference on the Art, Science, and Engineering of Programming - Programming '17
- DOI: 10.1145/3079368.3079412 ; Researchgate ; Arxiv - pdf;
- Versions June 7, 2017 - Arxiv pdf; January 27, 2017 - Github
- found via Google
- found via wiki Antifragile
-
Article: "A Proposal for an Antifragile Software Manifesto." by Russo and Ciancarini
- Journal Article published 2016 in Procedia Computer Science volume 83 on pages 982 to 987
- Procedia Computer Science. The 7th International Conference on Ambient Systems, Networks and Technologies (ANT 2016) / The 6th International Conference on Sustainable Energy Information Technology (SEIT-2016) / Affiliated Workshops. 83: 982–987.
- DOI: 10.1016/J.PROCS.2016.04.196 ; Researchgate ; Publisher
- found via Google
- found via wiki Antifragile
- Journal Article published 2016 in Procedia Computer Science volume 83 on pages 982 to 987
-
Article: "An initial approach towards the implementation of human error identification services for antifragile systems." by Carlos A. Ramirez, Makoto Itoh
- Proceedings Article published Sep 2014 in 2014 Proceedings of the SICE Annual Conference (SICE)
- In SICE Annual Conference (SICE), 2014 Proceedings of the (pp. 2031–2036). IEEE.
- DOI: 10.1109/SICE.2014.6935315 ; Researchgate ; Publisher
- found via wiki Antifragile
- Proceedings Article published Sep 2014 in 2014 Proceedings of the SICE Annual Conference (SICE)
-
Article: "Positioning Antifragility for Clouds on Public Infrastructures" by Liang Guang, Ethiopia Nigussie, Juha Plosila, Hannu Tenhunen
- Journal Article published 2014 in Procedia Computer Science volume 32 on pages 856 to 861
- DOI: 10.1016/J.PROCS.2014.05.502 ; Researchgate ; Publisher
- found via wiki Antifragile
Papers - Antifragile and Biology
-
Article: "Antifragility and Tinkering in Biology (and in Business) Flexibility Provides an Efficient Epigenetic Way to Manage Risk" by Antoine Danchin, Philippe M. Binder, Stanislas Noria
- Journal Article published 29 Nov 2011 in Genes volume 2 issue 4 on pages 998 to 1016
- DOI: 10.3390/GENES2040998 ; Researchgate ; Publisher
- found via Google
- found via wiki Antifragile
-
Book Chapter: "Niches and Adaptations of Polyextremotolerant Black Fungi" by Martin Grube, Lucia Muggia, Cene Gostinčar
- Book Chapter published 2013 in Cellular Origin, Life in Extreme Habitats and Astrobiology on pages 551 to 566
- DOI: 10.1007/978-94-007-6488-0_25 ; Researchgate ; Publisher
- found via wiki Antifragile
Papers - Antifragile and Scale
Papers - Antifragile and Risk Management
-
Article: "The Concept of Antifragility and its Implications for the Practice of Risk Analysis." by Terje Aven
- Journal Article published Mar 2015 in Risk Analysis volume 35 issue 3 on pages 476 to 483
- DOI: 10.1111/RISA.12279 ; Researchgate ; Publisher
- found via wiki Antifragile
-
Article: "Preparing for the future: Development of an ‘antifragile’ methodology that complements scenario planning by omitting causation." by James Derbyshire, George Wright
- Journal Article published Feb 2014 in Technological Forecasting and Social Change volume 82 on pages 215 to 225
- DOI: 10.1016/J.TECHFORE.2013.07.001 ;
Researchgate ;
Publisher
- the abstract states "t describes how this approach can be implemented in a workshop setting."
- found via Google
- found via wiki Antifragile
Papers - Antifragile and Organisations
-
Paper: "Learning from chaos: the advent of antifragility in service organizations." by Ayham A. M. Jaaron, Chris J. Backhouse
- Conference Paper 2014 POMS International Conference, Sungapore, July 21-23, 2014
- DOI: ? ; Researchgate ; Publisher ; Semantic Scholar - pdf
- found via Google
-
Article: "Building Antifragility in Service Organisations: Going Beyond Resilience." by Ayham Jaaron, Chris J. Backhouse
- Article in International Journal of Services and Operations Management 19(4):491-513 · November 2014 with 84 Reads
- DOI: 10.1504/IJSOM.2014.065671 ; Researchgate
- found via Google
-
Article: "What we know and do not know about organizational resilience." by Cristina Ruiz-Martin, Adolfo Lopez-Paredes, Gabriel Wainer
- Journal Article published 31 Jan 2018 in International Journal of Production Management and Engineering volume 6 issue 1 on page 11
- DOI: 10.4995/IJPME.2018.7898 ; Researchgate ; Publisher
- found via Google
-
Article: "An alternative view to assessing antifragility in an organisation: A case study in a manufacturing SME." by Denzil Kennon, Corné S.L. Schutte, Eric Lutters
- Journal Article published 2015 in CIRP Annals volume 64 issue 1 on pages 177 to 180
- DOI: 10.1016/J.CIRP.2015.04.024 ; Researchgate ; Publisher ; UTwente - pdf
- found via Google
-
Article: "The antifragile organization." by Ariel Tseitlin
- Journal Article published 1 Aug 2013 in Communications of the ACM volume 56 issue 8 on page 40
- DOI: 10.1145/2492007.2492022 ; Researchgate Publisher ; Publisher - detail
- found via Google
-
Article: "Company Maturity Matrix." by Olga Eckardt
- Journal Article published 17 Aug 2018 in EMAJ: Emerging Markets Journal volume 8 issue 1 on pages 28 to 30
- DOI: 10.5195/EMAJ.2018.148 ; Researchgate ; Publisher
- found via Google
-
Master Thesis: "Self-Managing Organizations in the context of Entrepreneurial Innovation." by Kinneen, Kenneth & Younas, Sana
- Uppsala University.2018 (English)
- DiVA, diva2:1228343 ; Semantic Scholar - pdf ; Publisher
- found via Google
-
Master Thesis: "To Master Disaster: How SME managers can thrive and benefit from economic crises." by Victor Henriksson, Chris van Houten, Martin Spiß
- Linnaeus University, School of Business and Economics, Department of Marketing.
- DiVA, diva2:934567 ; Diva - pdf
- found via Google
-
Article: "Storytelling as a strategy in managing complex systems: using antifragility for handling an uncertain future in reliability." by Alberto Martinetti, Jan-Jaap Moerman, Leo A.M. van Dongen
- Journal Article published 2 Oct 2017 in Safety and Reliability volume 37 issue 4 on pages 233 to 247
- DOI: 10.1080/09617353.2018.1507163 ; Researchgate ; Publisher
- found via Google
-
"Evaluating organizational antifragility via fuzzy logic. The case of an Iranian company producing banknotes and security paper." by Ahmadreza Ghasemi, Mitra Alizadeh 2. Operations Research and Decisions, 2017, vol. 2, 21-43
- DOI: ? ; Researchgate ; Publsiher ; PWR Wroc PL - pdf ; Semantic Scholar - pdf
- found via Google
Papers - Antifragile and Psychology
-
Article: "Nonlinear Dynamical Systems and Humanistic Psychology." by David Pincus, Adam W. Kiefer, Jessica I. Beyer
- Journal Article published May 2018 in Journal of Humanistic Psychology volume 58 issue 3 on pages 343 to 366
- First Published November 15, 2017
- DOI: 10.1177/0022167817741784 ; Researchgate ; Sagepub - pdf
- found via Google
- Journal Article published May 2018 in Journal of Humanistic Psychology volume 58 issue 3 on pages 343 to 366
-
"Antifragility, the Black Swan and Psychology: A Psychological Theory of Adaptability in Evolutionary Socioeconomic Systems." by Brendan Markey-Towler
- Journal Article published in SSRN Electronic Journal
- 27 Feb 2018 University of Queensland - School of Economics
- DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.3130038 ; Researchgate ; Publisher
- found via Google
- Journal Article published in SSRN Electronic Journal
Papers - find citations with Google Scholar
- Antifragility
- Denzil Kennon
- Stellenbosch University
- Antifragility ; Enterprise Engineering
- https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=3vqnl4cAAAAJ&hl=en
- Vincenzo De Florio
- Resilience ; evolvability ; adaptability ; antifragility ; socio-technical systems
- https://win.uantwerpen.be/~vincenz/
- https://scholar.google.com/citations?hl=en&user=91zXOpkAAAAJ&view_op=list_works&sortby=pubdate
Papers in bibtex (to be merged in this page)
"Mathematical Definition, Mapping, and Detection of (Anti) Fragility" by Taleb 2013
@article{ article-antifragile-taleb-2013,
title = {Mathematical Definition, Mapping, and Detection of (Anti) Fragility},
author = {Taleb, Nassim Nicholas and Douady, Raphael},
journal = {Quantitative Finance },
volume = {13},
number = {11},
pages = {1677--1689},
year = {2013},
month = {11},
DOI = {10.1080/14697688.2013.800219},
URL = {https://doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2013.800219},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.researchgate.net/publication/230609579_Mathematical_Definition_Mapping_and_Detection_of_AntiFragility}
,
\url{https://arxiv.org/abs/1208.1189}
and
\url{https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01151340}
},
abstract = {
We provide a mathematical definition of fragility and antifragility as negative or positive sensitivity to a semi-measure of dispersion and volatility (a variant of negative or positive ÒvegaÓ) and examine the link to nonlinear effects. We integrate model error (and biases) into the fragile or antifragile context. Unlike risk, which is linked to psychological notions such as subjective preferences (hence cannot apply to a coffee cup) we offer a measure that is universal and concerns any object that has a probability distribution (whether such distribution is known or, critically, unknown).
We propose a detection of fragility, robustness, and antifragility using a single "fast-and-frugal", model-free, probability free heuristic that also picks up exposure to model error. The heuristic lends itself to immediate implementation, and uncovers hidden risks related to company size, forecasting problems, and bank tail exposures (it explains the forecasting biases). While simple to implement, it outperforms stress testing and other such methods such as Value-at-Risk.
}
}
"The Fall and Rise of Strategic Planning" by Mintzberg 1994
@article{ article-mintzberg-1994,
title = {The Fall and Rise of Strategic Planning},
author = {Mintzberg, Henry},
journal = {Harvard Business Review},
number={94107},
volume={JANUARY–FEBRUARY 1994},
pages = {107--114},
year = {1994},
month = {02},
Note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://hbr.org/1994/01/the-fall-and-rise-of-strategic-planning}
and
\url{https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/89d3/153825e9606a67934df5a7a03125faddd825.pdf}
}
}
"Randomness: Rethinking the foundation of probability" by Liu 2002
@inproceedings{liu2002randomness,
title={Randomness: Rethinking the foundation of probability},
author={Liu, Yan and Thompson, Patrick},
booktitle={Proceedings of the twenty fourth annual meeting of the North American chapter of the International Group for the Psychology of Mathematics Education, Athens, GA},
volume={3},
pages={1331--1334},
year={2002}
}
"Randomness in quantum mechanics: philosophy, physics and technology" by Bera 2017
@article{ article-bera-2017,
title = {Randomness in quantum mechanics: philosophy, physics and technology},
author = {Bera, Manabendra Nath and Ac{\'\i}n, Antonio and Ku{\'s}, Marek and Mitchell, Morgan W and Lewenstein, Maciej},
journal = {Reports on Progress in Physics},
volume = {80},
number = {12},
pages = {124001},
year = {2017},
month = {11},
publisher = {IOP Publishing},
doi = {10.1088/1361-6633/aa8731},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1088%2F1361-6633%2Faa8731},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1361-6633/aa8731/meta}
and
\url{https://arxiv.org/pdf/1611.02176.pdf}
},
abstract = {
This progress report covers recent developments in the area of quantum randomness, which is an extraordinarily interdisciplinary area that belongs not only to physics, but also to philosophy, mathematics, computer science, and technology. For this reason the article contains three parts that will be essentially devoted to different aspects of quantum randomness, and even directed, although not restricted, to various audiences: a philosophical part, a physical part, and a technological part. For these reasons the article is written on an elementary level, combining simple and non-technical descriptions with a concise review of more advanced results. In this way readers of various provenances will be able to gain while reading the article.
}
}
"Catastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks" by Buldyrev 2010
@article{ article-buldyrev-2010,
title={Catastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks},
author={
Buldyrev, Sergey V and
Parshani, Roni and
Paul, Gerald and
Stanley, H Eugene and
Havlin, Shlomo},
journal={Nature},
volume={464},
number={7291},
pages={1025},
year={2010},
month={04},
publisher={Nature Publishing Group},
DOI = {10.1038/nature08932},
URL = {https://doi.org/10.1038/nature08932},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.nature.com/articles/nature08932#supplementary-information}
,
\url{https://www.researchgate.net/publication/43148428_Catastrophic_Cascade_of_Failures_in_Interdependent_Networks}
,
\url{https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20393559}
,
\url{https://arxiv.org/abs/0907.1182}
},
abstract={
Complex networks have been studied intensively for a decade, but research still focuses on the limited case of a single, non-interacting network1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14. Modern systems are coupled together15,16,17,18,19 and therefore should be modelled as interdependent networks. A fundamental property of interdependent networks is that failure of nodes in one network may lead to failure of dependent nodes in other networks. This may happen recursively and can lead to a cascade of failures. In fact, a failure of a very small fraction of nodes in one network may lead to the complete fragmentation of a system of several interdependent networks. A dramatic real-world example of a cascade of failures (‘concurrent malfunction’) is the electrical blackout that affected much of Italy on 28 September 2003: the shutdown of power stations directly led to the failure of nodes in the Internet communication network, which in turn caused further breakdown of power stations20. Here we develop a framework for understanding the robustness of interacting networks subject to such cascading failures. We present exact analytical solutions for the critical fraction of nodes that, on removal, will lead to a failure cascade and to a complete fragmentation of two interdependent networks. Surprisingly, a broader degree distribution increases the vulnerability of interdependent networks to random failure, which is opposite to how a single network behaves. Our findings highlight the need to consider interdependent network properties in designing robust networks.
}
}
"On some recent definitions and analysis frameworks for risk, vulnerability, and resilience" by Aven 2011
@article{ article-risk-aven-2011,
title={On some recent definitions and analysis frameworks for risk, vulnerability, and resilience},
author={Aven, Terje},
journal={Risk Analysis: An International Journal},
volume={31},
number={4},
pages={515--522},
year={2011},
publisher={Wiley Online Library},
DOI = {10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01528.x},
URL = {https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01528.x},
eprint = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01528.x},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01528.x}
},
abstract = {
Recently, considerable attention has been paid to a systems-based approach to risk, vulnerability, and resilience analysis. It is argued that risk, vulnerability, and resilience are inherently and fundamentally functions of the states of the system and its environment. Vulnerability is defined as the manifestation of the inherent states of the system that can be subjected to a natural hazard or be exploited to adversely affect that system, whereas resilience is defined as the ability of the system to withstand a major disruption within acceptable degradation parameters and to recover within an acceptable time, and composite costs, and risks. Risk, on the other hand, is probability based, defined by the probability and severity of adverse effects (i.e., the consequences). In this article, we look more closely into this approach. It is observed that the key concepts are inconsistent in the sense that the uncertainty (probability) dimension is included for the risk definition but not for vulnerability and resilience. In the article, we question the rationale for this inconsistency. The suggested approach is compared with an alternative framework that provides a logically defined structure for risk, vulnerability, and resilience, where all three concepts are incorporating the uncertainty (probability) dimension.
}
}
"The risk concept—historical and recent development trends" by Aven 2012
@article{ article-risk-aven-2012,
title={The risk concept—historical and recent development trends},
author={Aven, Terje},
journal={Reliability Engineering \& System Safety},
volume={99},
pages={33--44},
year={2012},
publisher={Elsevier},
issn = "0951-8320",
doi = "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2011.11.006",
url = "http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832011002584",
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832011002584}
and
\url{http://sci-hub.se/10.1016/j.ress.2011.11.006}
},
abstract = {
This paper reviews the definition and meaning of the concept of risk. The review has a historical and development trend perspective, also covering recent years. It is questioned if, and to what extent, it is possible to identify some underlying patterns in the way risk has been, and is being understood today. The analysis is based on a new categorisation of risk definitions and an assessment of these categories in relation to a set of critical issues, including how these risk definitions match typical daily-life phrases about risk. The paper presents a set of constructed development paths for the risk concept and concludes that over the last 15–20 years we have seen a shift from rather narrow perspectives based on probabilities to ways of thinking which highlight events, consequences and uncertainties. However, some of the more narrow perspectives (like expected values and probability-based perspectives) are still strongly influencing the risk field, although arguments can be provided against their use. The implications of this situation for risk assessment and risk management are also discussed.
}
}
"The Concept of Antifragility and its Implications for the Practice of Risk Analysis" by Aven 2015
@article{ article-risk-aven-2015,
title = {The Concept of Antifragility and its Implications for the Practice of Risk Analysis},
author = {Aven, Terje},
journal = {Risk Analysis},
volume = {35},
number = {3},
pages = {476--483},
year = {2015},
month = {03},
DOI = {10.1111/RISA.12279},
URL = {https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.12279},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.researchgate.net/publication/266149936_The_Concept_of_Antifragility_and_its_Implications_for_the_Practice_of_Risk_Analysis}
and
\url{https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/risa.12279}
},
abstract={
Nassim Taleb's antifragile concept has been shown considerable interest in the media and on the Internet recently. For Taleb, the antifragile concept is a blueprint for living in a black swan world (where surprising extreme events may occur), the key being to love variation and uncertainty to some degree, and thus also errors. The antonym of “fragile” is not robustness or resilience, but “please mishandle” or “please handle carelessly,” using an example from Taleb when referring to sending a package full of glasses by post. In this article, we perform a detailed analysis of this concept, having a special focus on how the antifragile concept relates to common ideas and principles of risk management. The article argues that Taleb's antifragile concept adds an important contribution to the current practice of risk analysis by its focus on the dynamic aspects of risk and performance, and the necessity of some variation, uncertainties, and risk to achieve improvements and high performance at later stages.
}
}
"Risk, vulnerability, robustness, and resilience from a decision-theoretic perspective" by Scholz 2012
@article{ article-scholz-2012,
title={Risk, vulnerability, robustness, and resilience from a decision-theoretic perspective},
author={Scholz, Roland W and Blumer, Yann B and Brand, Fridolin S},
journal={Journal of Risk Research},
volume={15},
number={3},
pages={313--330},
year={2012},
publisher={Routledge and Taylor \& Francis},
doi = {10.1080/13669877.2011.634522},
URL = {https://doi.org/10.1080/13669877.2011.634522},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/13669877.2011.634522}
},
abstract = {
Risk, vulnerability, robustness, and resilience are terms that are being used increasingly frequently in a large range of sciences. This paper shows how these terms can be consistently defined based on a decision-theoretic, verbal, and formal definition. Risk is conceived as an evaluation of an uncertain loss potential. The paper starts from a formal decision-theoretic definition of risk, which distinguishes between the risk situation (i.e. the risk analyst’s model of the situation in which someone perceives or assesses risk) and the risk function (i.e. the risk analyst’s model about how someone is perceiving and assessing risk). The approach allows scholars to link together different historical approaches to risk, such as the toxicological risk concept and the action-based approach to risk. The paper then elaborates how risk, vulnerability, and resilience are all linked to one another. In general, the vulnerability concept, such as the definition of vulnerability by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), goes beyond risk, as it includes an adaptive capacity. Thus vulnerability is mostly seen as a dynamic concept that refers to a certain period of time. If the vulnerability of a system is viewed only at a certain point of time, vulnerability equals risk. In contrast, if we consider dynamic risk in the sense that we include actions that may follow adverse events, risk resembles vulnerability. In this case we speak about adaptive risk management. Similar to vulnerability, resilience incorporates the capability of a system to cope with the adverse effects that a system has been exposed to. Here we distinguish between specified and general resilience. Specified resilience equals (dynamic) vulnerability as the adverse events linked to threats/hazards to which a system is exposed to are known. Robustness can be seen as an antonym to (static) vulnerability. General resilience includes coping with the unknown. In particular, the approach presented here allows us to precisely relate different types of risk, vulnerability, robustness and resilience, and considers all concepts together as part of adaptive risk management.
}
}
"Recommendations for Design against Disproportionate Collapse of Structures" by Starossek 2010
@inproceedings{ article-starossek-2010,
title = {Report of the Terminology and Procedures Sub-Committee (SC1): Recommendations for Design against Disproportionate Collapse of Structures},
booktitle = {Structures Congress 2011},
author = {Starossek, Uwe and Smilowitz, Robert and Waggoner, M and Rubenacker, Karl and Haberland, Marco and P Moore, Walter},
year = {2011},
month = {04},
pages = {2090-2103},
doi = {10.1061/41171(401)182},
URL = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1061/41171(401)182},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://trid.trb.org/view/1109827}
and ResearchGate
},
abstract = {The ASCE SEI Committee on Disproportionate Collapse Standards and Guidance is developing a guidance document for design against disproportionate collapse of structures. A Terminology and Procedures Sub-Committee was created to focus on definitions of terms and to develop a conceptual framework. The Sub-Committee prepared a draft that was discussed and accepted in principle by the Committee at its meeting on 13 May 2010. The draft is published here in its latest but shortened version for rapid dissemination and discussion. The complete draft is available on request. The draft starts with a comprehensive and consistent set of definitions of relevant terms such as collapse resistance, robustness, vulnerability, exposure, direct design, indirect design, threat-specific design, non-threat-specific design, and many more, which up to now have not been consistently defined and used. These definitions are strongly cross-referenced and a hierarchical system of interrelated definitions thus emerges. On this basis, a conceptual framework of design criteria comprising design requirements, design objectives, design methods, and verification procedures is developed. This framework will serve as the outline for the Committee's design guidance document. Specific content for a number of sections and an appendix still need to be developed by dedicated Sub-Committees (SC). These tasks are clearly defined by the framework. The draft consists of recommendations and commentary. In the following, recommendations are set in normal font and commentary in italics. The section numbering of the draft is substantial to cross-referencing and thus retained. Specific content still to be developed by dedicated Sub-Committees is indicated in brackets. Numbers given in tables are intended to illustrate the possible final content of these tables and to stimulate discussion. They should be understood as placeholders for the final content to be specified by the respective Sub-Committee.}
}
"The Bellagio Initiative, background paper, Resilience: A Literature Review" by Martin-Breen and Anderies 2011
@inproceedings{ article-martin-breen-2011,
booktitle = {Resilience: A Literature Review},
title = {The Bellagio Initiative, background paper, Resilience: A Literature Review},
author = {Martin-Breen, Patrick and Anderies, J. Marty},
organization = {IDS, The Resource Alliance, The Rockerfeller Foundation},
address = {Brighton:IDS},
year = {2011},
month = {11},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{http://opendocs.ids.ac.uk/opendocs/handle/123456789/3692}
},
abstract = {
Resilience has, in the past four decades, been a term increasingly employed throughout a number of sciences: psychology and ecology, most prominently. Increasingly one finds it in political science, business administration, sociology, history, disaster planning, urban planning, and international development. The shared use of the term does not, however, imply unified concepts of resilience nor the theories in which it is embedded. Different uses generate different methods, sometimes different methodologies. Evidential or other empirical support can differ between domains of application, even when concepts are broadly shared. The review centres on three resilience frameworks, of increasing complexity: Engineering Resilience (or ‘Common Sense’ resilience); Systems Resilience, called Robustness in economics; and Resilience in Complex Adaptive Systems. Although each framework has historical roots in particular disciplines, the frameworks themselves can be applied to any domain: Engineering Resilience is utilised in some child development studies; Systems Resilience is often used in governance and management; and the Complex Adaptive Systems approach has been applied to economics, innovation in technology, history, and urban planning. Thus different frameworks along the spectrum offer a choice of perspective; the acceptability of trade-offs between them, and not subject matter, will ultimately determine which perspective is chosen.
}
}
"Engineering resilience versus ecological resilience" by Holling 1996
@article{ article-holling-1996,
title={Engineering resilience versus ecological resilience},
author={Holling, Crawford Stanley},
journal={Engineering within Ecological Constraints},
publisher = {National Academy Press},
address = {Washington DC},
volume={31},
number={1996},
pages={31--43},
year={1996},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.researchgate.net/publication/266149936_The_Concept_of_Antifragility_and_its_Implications_for_the_Practice_of_Risk_Analysis}
,
\url{https://www.scirp.org/(S(czeh2tfqyw2orz553k1w0r45))/reference/ReferencesPapers.aspx?ReferenceID=1804343}
and
\url{https://www.nap.edu/read/4919/chapter/4}
},
abstract = {abstract not yet found}
}
"Resilience, adaptability and transformability in social--ecological systems" by Walker 2004
@article{ article-walker-2004,
title={Resilience, adaptability and transformability in social--ecological systems},
author={Walker, Brian H. and Holling, Crawford S. and Carpenter, Stephen R. and Kinzig, Ann},
journal={Ecology and society},
volume={9},
number={2},
year={2004},
month={12},
publisher={The Resilience Alliance},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol9/iss2/art5}
,
\url{https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol15/iss4/art20/ES-2010-3610.pdf}
,
\url{https://www.researchgate.net/publication/297778685_Resilience_Adaptability_and_Transformability_in_Social-Ecological_Systems}
,
\url{https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/8f28/9160976f0f830c0c74b1e4e245a90637688f.pdf}
and
\url{https://asu.pure.elsevier.com/en/publications/resilience-adaptability-and-transformability-in-social-ecological}
},
abstract={
The concept of resilience has evolved considerably since Holling's (1973) seminal paper. Different interpretations of what is meant by resilience, however, cause confusion. Resilience of a system needs to be considered in terms of the attributes that govern the system's dynamics. Three related attributes of social-ecological systems (SESs) determine their future trajectories: resilience, adaptability, and transformability. Resilience (the capacity of a system to absorb disturbance and reorganize while undergoing change so as to still retain essentially the same function, structure, identity, and feedbacks) has four components - latitude, resistance, precariousness, and panarchy - most readily portrayed using the metaphor of a stability landscape. Adaptability is the capacity of actors in the system to influence resilience (in a SES, essentially to manage it). There are four general ways in which this can be done, corresponding to the four aspects of resilience. Transformability is the capacity to create a fundamentally new system when ecological, economic, or social structures make the existing system untenable. The implications of this interpretation of SES dynamics for sustainability science include changing the focus from seeking optimal states and the determinants of maximum sustainable yield (the MSY paradigm), to resilience analysis, adaptive resource management, and adaptive governance.
}
}
"To Master Disaster: How SME managers can thrive and benefit from economic crises" by Henriksson 2016
@misc{paper-henriksson-2016,
title={To Master Disaster: How SME managers can thrive and benefit from economic crises},
author={Henriksson, Victor and Spiss, Martin and van Houten, Chris},
year={2016},
month={06},
publisher={Linnaeus University, School of Business and Economics, Department of Marketing.},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{http://www.diva-portal.org/smash/record.jsf?pid=diva2%3A934567&dswid=-7618} ;
{URN: urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-53185} ;
{OAI: oai:DiVA.org:lnu-53185} ;
{DiVA, id: diva2:934567} ;
},
abstract={
Economic crises become progressively more global and the frequency as well as the length by which crises occur, is increasing. Crises affect all businesses differently and operating in times of crises is arduous which makes outcomes unpredictable. But there is one certainty: the manager’s approach to handling crises will affect the company’s output. The concept of antifragility will be introduced which means to go beyond resilience; with the purpose not only to survive crises but also to gain from the disorder that is caused by it. The antifragile uses change to its advantage and grows from it. In SMEs the manager has a significant responsibility and the future value of the company mainly a consequence of their actions. The natural response to crisis is to assume a defensive or passive posture and cut down expenses to survive. Essentially leaving the company vulnerable for a longer period of economic downturn, thus making it considerably more difficult when the market rebounds. This study aims to explore the field of antifragility and examine a manager’s possibilities to move towards the creation of an antifragile SME. Analysing the areas that move the company towards antifragility and how managers can utilize these assets to profit from economic crises is a key inquiry. To fulfil this purpose, the study is accompanied by qualitative case studies of seven Swedish SMEs which operated during the economic crisis in 2008 and 2009. The empirical data was collected through semi-interviews at each of the case companies. The theoretical framework includes the theoretical key success areas, strategy, opportunities and motivation, and different theories regarding managers and antifragility. The theoretical framework concludes with the theoretical synthesis developed from the theories presented earlier in the chapter. The findings from the interviews are presented in the empirical chapter. The analysis connects the theoretical framework to the empirical data, and forms the basis for the paper conclusions.
}
}
"International Conference on Business Information Systems" by Muller 2013
@inproceedings{paper-muller-2013,
booktitle={International Conference on Business Information Systems},
title={Resilience-a new research field in business information systems?},
author={M{\"u}ller, G{\"u}nter and Koslowski, Thomas G and Accorsi, Rafael},
pages={3--14},
year={2013},
DOI={10.1007/978-3-642-41687-3_2},
URL={https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-41687-3_2},
organization={Springer},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-642-41687-3_2}
,
\url{https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/9139e5450049db8eab6e2a1fa837af2618e3563c}
},
abstract={
Being responsive in cases of unplanned disruptions has been difficult for management in the past, but for IT it is even more challenging: IT Systems are developed to fulfill predefined properties, and offer a hard-wired set of exception handling functionalities. Resilience encompasses reaction on disturbances beyond the scope of known properties. An organization is resilient if its capabilities can be adapted to new requirements which have not been explictly incorporated into the existing IT design. This paper introduces the concept of resilience and its implications in the fields of business information systems.
}
}
"Resilience thinking: integrating resilience, adaptability and transformability" by Folke 2010
@article{ article-folke-2010,
title={Resilience thinking: integrating resilience, adaptability and transformability},
author={Folke, Carl and Carpenter, Stephen R. and Walker, Brian and Scheffer, Marten and Chapin, Terry and Rockstr{\"o}m, Johan},
journal={Ecology and society},
volume={15},
number={4},
year={2010},
month={01},
publisher={The Resilience Alliance},
DOI={10.5751/ES-03610-150420},
URL={https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-03610-150420},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol15/iss4/art20/}
,
\url{https://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/pubs/journals/pnw_2010_folke.pdf}
and
\url{https://scinapse.io/papers/2127569725}
},
abstract={
Resilience thinking addresses the dynamics and development of complex social-ecological systems (SES). Three aspects are central: resilience, adaptability and transformability. These aspects interrelate across multiple scales. Resilience in this context is the capacity of a SES to continually change and adapt yet remain within critical thresholds. Adaptability is part of resilience. It represents the capacity to adjust responses to changing external drivers and internal processes and thereby allow for development along the current trajectory (stability domain). Transformability is the capacity to cross thresholds into new development trajectories. Transformational change at smaller scales enables resilience at larger scales. The capacity to transform at smaller scales draws on resilience from multiple scales, making use of crises as windows of opportunity for novelty and innovation, and recombining sources of experience and knowledge to navigate social-ecological transitions. Society must seriously consider ways to foster resilience of smaller more manageable SESs that contribute to Earth System resilience and to explore options for deliberate transformation of SESs that threaten Earth System resilience.
}
}
"Review of Resilience Research" by Santos 2012
@inproceedings{ article-santos-2012,
booktitle = {Review of Resilience Research},
title={\"Why Resilience?\" A Review of Literature of Resilience and Implications for Further Educational Research.},
author={Santos, Ryan S. },
year={2012},
publisher={Claremont Graduate University \& San Diego State University},
address = {Claremont, CA},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.scirp.org/(S(351jmbntvnsjt1aadkposzje))/reference/ReferencesPapers.aspx?ReferenceID=1957059}
,
\url{https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/Resilience-1-Running-Head\%3A-Review-of-Resilience-A-Santos-Dreyer/8225bf92c023959dd344784f37d52d998885b33e}
,
\url{https://go.sdsu.edu/education/doc/files/01370-ResiliencyLiteratureReview\%28SDSU\%29.pdf}
and
\url{https://go.sdsu.edu/education/doc/files/01383-Qual_Defense_PPT-Santos.pdf}
},
abstract = {abstract not yet found}
}
"From Resilience to the Design of Antifragility" by Passos, Coelho and Sarti 2018
@inproceedings{ article-Passos-2018,
title = {From Resilience to the Design of Antifragility},
Booktitle = {pesaro 2018},
author = {Passos, Danielle Sandler dos and Coelho, Helder and Sarti, Flávia Mori},
year = {2018},
month = {04},
organization = {The Eighth International Conference on Performance, Safety and Robustness in Complex Systems and Applications},
volume={1},
pages = {7--11},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{http://toc.proceedings.com/39327webtoc.pdf},
\url{https://www.thinkmind.org/download.php?articleid=pesaro_2018_2_10_60003}
and
\url{https://www.gbes.com/blog/from-resilience-to-antifragile/}
},
abstract = {Resilience has been highlighted for the last few years as one of the most important mechanisms of survival and evolution of systems. However, with the complexity and exponential advance of Information and Communication Technologies (ICT), volatility, uncertainty and disorder have become constant in our daily lives, creating the need for adjustments and improvements in resilience, in order to maintain its efficiency. As a consequence, various skills, such as adaptation, learning, self-organization and others, have been added to it, increasing it to antifragility. Focusing on this process of evolution, this work confronts the dissociation between resilience and antifragility, proving in the end, that antifragility is the resilience in its most advanced form.}
}
"Analysis of the Definitions of Resilience" by Wang 2017
@article{ article-Wang2017,
title = {Analysis of the Definitions of Resilience},
author = {Wang, Zhonglin and Nistor, Marian Sorin and Pickl, Stefan Wolfgang },
doi = {10.1016/j.ifacol.2017.08.1756},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2017.08.1756},
year = {2017},
month = {07},
publisher = {Elsevier {BV}},
volume = {50},
number = {1},
pages = {10649--10657},
journal = {{IFAC}-{PapersOnLine}},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405896317323753}
,
\url{https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320493227_Analysis_of_the_Definitions_of_Resilience}
},
abstract = {
Several studies have proposed different definitions of resilience during the past two decades. While reviews of part of the literature were published, a comparative analysis of the extant definitions is still lacking. This article critically analyzes the current definitions of resilience and show their limits and applicability domains especially in control theoretic situations. Further contributions of this article are the conversion of several qualitative definitions into quantitative ones and the determination of the level of compliancy of the discussed definitions with desirable properties, such as monotony in the variables.
}
}
"An alternative view to assessing antifragility in an organisation: A case study in a manufacutring SME." by Kennon, Schutte and Lutters 2015
@article{ article-org-kennon-2015,
title = {An alternative view to assessing antifragility in an organisation: A case study in a manufacutring SME.},
author = {{Kennon}, D. and {Schutte}, C.S.L. and {Lutters}, dr.ir. D. },
journal = {CIRP annals : manufacturing technology},
volume = {64},
pages = {177--180},
year = {2015},
month = {04},
DOI = {10.1016/j.cirp.2015.04.024},
URL = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cirp.2015.04.024},
note = {
ISSN 0007-8506
Retrieved from
\url{https://epdoc.utsp.utwente.nl/100574/}
,
\url{https://www.researchgate.net/publication/276164208_An_alternative_view_to_assessing_antifragility_in_an_organisation_A_case_study_in_a_manufacturing_SME}
,
\url{https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0007850615000323?via%3Dihub}
and
\url{https://research.utwente.nl/en/publications/an-alternative-view-to-assessing-antifragility-in-an-organisation}
},
abstract = {In complex adaptive systems, antifragility designates the positive sensitivity to volatility, caused by (exceptional or ?black swan?) external stressors that intervene with the intended functionality of these systems. System Engineers can purposefully employ the concept antifragility to engender better systems. Prerequisite for this is the ability to adequately assess system changes and especially system improvements as the consequence of stressors. Albeit antifragility measurements do exist, their practicality is limited. This publication proposes a novel approach for antifragility measurement. A case study on a manufacturing SME depicts the antifragile spectrum rating of an SME to test the effects of system changes.}
}
"A framework for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science." by Turner 2003
@article{ article-turner-2003,
title={A framework for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science.},
author={
Turner, Billie L. and
Kasperson, Roger E. and
Matson, Pamela A. and
McCarthy, James J. and
Corell, Robert W. and
Christensen, Lindsey and
Eckley, Noelle and
Kasperson, Jeanne X. and
Luers, Amy and
Martello, Marybeth L. and
Polsky, Colin and
Pulsipher, Alexander and
Schiller, Andrew},
journal={Proceedings of the national academy of sciences},
volume={100},
number={14},
pages={8074--8079},
year={2003},
month={07},
publisher={National Acad Sciences},
issn = {0027-8424},
DOI={10.1073/pnas.1231335100},
url={https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1231335100},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.pnas.org/content/100/14/8074.short}
,
\url{https://www.pnas.org/content/100/14/8074.full.pdf}
,
\url{https://www.researchgate.net/publication/10720959_A_framework_for_vulnerability_analysis_in_sustainability_science}
,
\url{https://asu.pure.elsevier.com/en/publications/a-framework-for-vulnerability-analysis-in-sustainability-science}
and
\url{https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/84b9/4343cb53cc1421fe6e416465d0d276c33f12.pdf}
},
abstract={
Global environmental change and sustainability science increasingly recognize the need to address the consequences of changes taking place in the structure and function of the biosphere. These changes raise questions such as: Who and what are vulnerable to the multiple environmental changes underway, and where? Research demonstrates that vulnerability is registered not by exposure to hazards (perturbations and stresses) alone but also resides in the sensitivity and resilience of the system experiencing such hazards. This recognition requires revisions and enlargements in the basic design of vulnerability assessments, including the capacity to treat coupled human - environment systems and those linkages within and without the systems that affect their vulnerability. A vulnerability framework for the assessment of coupled human-environment systems is presented.
}
}
"Stress and disorders of the stress system." by Chrousos, George P 2009
@article{ article-chrousos-2009,
title={Stress and disorders of the stress system.},
author={Chrousos, George P},
journal={Nature reviews endocrinology},
volume={5},
number={7},
pages={374--381},
year={2009},
month={06},
publisher={Nature Publishing Group},
DOI={10.1038/nrendo.2009.106},
URL={https://doi.org/10.1038/nrendo.2009.106},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.nature.com/articles/nrendo.2009.106}
,
\url{https://www.pnas.org/content/100/14/8074.full.pdf}
,
\url{https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19488073}
,
\url{https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/704866_2}
,
\url{https://www.researchgate.net/publication/26258826_Stress_and_disorders_of_the_stress_system}
and
\url{https://www.researchgate.net/profile/George_Chrousos/publication/26258826_Stress_and_disorders_of_the_stress_system/links/09e4150f0899bf1a02000000.pdf}
},
abstract = {
All organisms must maintain a complex dynamic equilibrium, or homeostasis, which is constantly challenged by internal or external adverse forces termed stressors. Stress occurs when homeostasis is threatened or perceived to be so; homeostasis is re-established by various physiological and behavioral adaptive responses. Neuroendocrine hormones have major roles in the regulation of both basal homeostasis and responses to threats, and are involved in the pathogenesis of diseases characterized by dyshomeostasis or cacostasis. The stress response is mediated by the stress system, partly located in the central nervous system and partly in peripheral organs. The central, greatly interconnected effectors of this system include the hypothalamic hormones arginine vasopressin, corticotropin-releasing hormone and pro-opiomelanocortin-derived peptides, and the locus ceruleus and autonomic norepinephrine centers in the brainstem. Targets of these effectors include the executive and/or cognitive, reward and fear systems, the wake-sleep centers of the brain, the growth, reproductive and thyroid hormone axes, and the gastrointestinal, cardiorespiratory, metabolic, and immune systems. Optimal basal activity and responsiveness of the stress system is essential for a sense of well-being, successful performance of tasks, and appropriate social interactions. By contrast, excessive or inadequate basal activity and responsiveness of this system might impair development, growth and body composition, and lead to a host of behavioral and somatic pathological conditions.
}
}
"Coupled and complex: Human--environment interaction in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, USA" by Bennett, David and McGinnis, David 2008
@article{ article-bennett-2008,
title={Coupled and complex: Human--environment interaction in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, USA},
author={Bennett, David and McGinnis, David},
journal={Geoforum},
volume={39},
number={2},
pages={833--845},
year={2008},
month={03},
publisher={Elsevier},
DOI={10.1016/j.geoforum.2007.05.009},
URL={https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoforum.2007.05.009},
ISSN = {0016-7185},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{ https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016718507000917}
,
\url{https://www.infona.pl/resource/bwmeta1.element.elsevier-16991518-7e69-3c3c-804d-c2becc9cbf54}
and
\url{https://www.researchgate.net/publication/248434064_Coupled_and_complex_Human-environment_interaction_in_the_Greater_Yellowstone_Ecosystem_USA}
},
abstract = {
Complexity theory has received considerable attention over the past decade from a wide variety of disciplines. Some who write on this topic suggest that complexity theory will lead to a unifying understanding of complex phenomena; others dismiss it as a passing and disruptive fad. We suggest that for the analysis of coupled natural/human systems, the truth emerges from the middle ground. As an approach focused as much on the connections among system elements as the elements themselves, we argue that complexity theory provides a useful conceptual framework for the study of coupled natural/human systems. It is, if nothing else, a framework that leads us to ask interesting questions about, for example, sustainability, resilience, threshold events, and predictability.In this paper we attempt to demystify the ongoing discussions on complexity theory by linking its evocative and overloaded terminology to real-world processes. We illustrate how a shift in focus from system elements to connections among elements can lead to meaningful insight into human–environment interactions that might otherwise be overlooked. We ground our discussion in ongoing interdisciplinary research surrounding Yellowstone National Park’s northern elk winter range; a tightly coupled natural/human system that has been the center of debate, conflict, and compromise for more than 135 years.
}
}
"Antifragility analysis and measurement framework for systems of systems" by Johnson, John and Gheorghe, Adrian V 2013
@article{ article-johnson-2013,
title={Antifragility analysis and measurement framework for systems of systems},
author={Johnson, John and Gheorghe, Adrian V},
journal={International Journal of Disaster Risk Science},
volume={4},
number={4},
pages={159--168},
year={2013},
month={12},
publisher={Springer},
issn={2192-6395},
doi={10.1007/s13753-013-0017-7},
url={https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-013-0017-7},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2Fs13753-013-0017-7.pdf}
and
\url{https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/cba954bae35ee7594e17a75cc978b9dafb714502}
},
abstract={
The twenty-first century is defined by the social and technical hazards we face. A hazardous situation is a condition, or event, that threatens the well-being of people, organizations, societies, environments, and property. The most extreme of the hazards are considered X-Events and are an exogenous source of extreme stress to a system. X-Events can also be the unintended outputs of a system with both positive (serendipitous) and negative (catastrophic) consequences. Systems can vary in their ability to withstand these stress events. This ability exists on a continuum of fragility that ranges from fragile (degrading with stress), to robust (unchanged by stress), to antifragile (improving with stress). The state of the art does not include a method for analyzing or measuring fragility. Given that “what we measure we will improve,” the absence of a measurement approach limits the effectiveness of governance in making our systems less fragile and more robust if not antifragile. The authors present an antifragile system simulation model, and propose a framework for analyzing and measuring antifragility based on system of systems concepts. The framework reduces a multidimensional concept of fragility into a two-dimensional continuous interval scale.
}
}
"Preparing for the future: Development of an ‘antifragile’ methodology that complements scenario planning by omitting causation." by Derbyshire, James and Wright, George 2014
@article{ article-risk-wright-2014,
title = {Preparing for the future: Development of an ‘antifragile’ methodology that complements scenario planning by omitting causation.},
author = {Derbyshire, James and Wright, George },
journal = {Technological Forecasting and Social Change},
volume = {82},
pages = {215--225},
year = {2014},
month = {02},
DOI = {10.1016/J.TECHFORE.2013.07.001 },
URL = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.07.001},
ISSN = {0040-1625},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://strathprints.strath.ac.uk/52933/}
,
\url{https://www.researchgate.net/publication/260029387_Preparing_for_the_future_Development_of_an_'antifragile'_methodology_that_complements_scenario_planning_by_omitting_causation}
and
\url{https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162513001534}
},
abstract={
This paper demonstrates that the Intuitive Logics method of scenario planning emphasises the causal unfolding of future events and that this emphasis limits its ability to aid preparation for the future, for example by giving a misleading impression as to the usefulness of ‘weak signals’ or ‘early warnings’. We argue for the benefits of an alternative method that views uncertainty as originating from indeterminism. We develop and illustrate an ‘antifragile’ approach to preparing for the future and present it as a step-by-step, non-deterministic methodology that can be used as a replacement for, or as a complement to, the causally-focused approach of scenario planning.
}
}
"Evaluating organizational antifragility via fuzzy logic. The case of an iranian company producing banknotes and security paper." by Ghasemi, Ahmadreza and Alizadeh, Mitra 2017
@article{ article-org-ghasemi-2017,
title = {Evaluating organizational antifragility via fuzzy logic. The case of an iranian company producing banknotes and security paper.},
author = {Ghasemi, Ahmadreza and Alizadeh, Mitra },
journal = {Operations Research and Decisions},
volume = {1},
pages = {21--43},
year = {2017},
month = {02},
DOI = {10.5277/ord170202} ,
URL = {https://doi.org/10.5277/ord170202},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.researchgate.net/publication/325385576_EVALUATING_ORGANIZATIONAL_ANTIFRAGILITY_VIA_FUZZY_LOGIC_THE_CASE_OF_AN_IRANIAN_COMPANY_PRODUCING_BANKNOTES_AND_SECURITY_PAPER}
,
\url{https://econpapers.repec.org/article/wutjournl/v_3a2_3ay_3a2017_3ap_3a21-43_3aid_3a1311.htm}
,
\url{https://ideas.repec.org/a/wut/journl/v2y2017p21-43id1311.html}
,
\url{http://orduser.pwr.wroc.pl/DownloadFile.aspx?aid=1311}
and
\url{https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/EVALUATING_ORGANIZATIONAL_ANTIFRAGILITY_VIA_FUZZY_Ghasemi_Alizadeh/706abe9a615c552e81118774b915b15d9126b307}
},
abstract={
the antifragility concept has received high attention from researchers in recent years. Contrary to fragile systems that fail when exposed to stressors, antifragile systems prosper and gets better in response to unpredictability, volatility, randomness, chaos and disturbance. The antifragility implication is beyond resilience or robustness. The resilient system resists stresses and remains the same; while the antifragile system improves and gets better. Taleb discusses that antifragility is required for dealing with events that he called them as black swans or X-Events which are scarce, unpredictable, and extreme events. These events come as surprise and have major consequences. Antifragile was developed by Taleb in the socioeconomic context, not in industrial production. But authors think that this concept may have its largest practical utilization and be very useful if it is applied to industrial environments. Thus, we had focused on this concept in our work. In this paper, we are aiming to investigate the antifragility level in an organization. In order to perform this, authors used a case study on Iranian Security Paper Manufacturing Complex (TAKAB). Firstly a questionnaire was designed according to 7 antifragility analytical criteria using five-point Likert scale and devoted a triangular fuzzy number to each Linguistic term. In the next phase, the weight of each criterion was obtained using entropy technique. In the final stage, the Euclidean distance between the aggregation Fuzzy Antifragility Index (FAI) and each linguistic term used during this case study was calculated. Eventually based on results, the antifragility level of the organization assessed as “satisfactorily antifragile", due to the minimum Euclidean distance.
}
}
"The Fractography and Crack Patterns of Broken Glass" by Bradt, Richard C. 2011
@Article{ article-bradt-2011,
author="Bradt, Richard C.",
title="The Fractography and Crack Patterns of Broken Glass",
journal="Journal of Failure Analysis and Prevention",
year="2011",
month="04",
day="01",
volume="11",
number="2",
pages="79--96",
issn="1864-1245",
doi="10.1007/s11668-011-9432-5",
url="https://doi.org/10.1007/s11668-011-9432-5",
abstract="The topographical features which appear on the fracture surfaces of broken glass objects and the resulting crack patterns which develop are Nature's documentation of the fracture event. They are considered after a brief discussion of glass strength. Strength is central to the fracture surface features for it determines the strain energy release rate and the dynamics of crack extension. The surface features known as the mirror, the mist, and the hackle are illustrated and addressed through the principles of fracture mechanics and associated energy criteria. Quantitative aspects of the fracture process such as the stress level at fracture for a glass object are directly related to the size of the fracture mirror. The concept of a fracture mirror constant is related to the strength. Formation of the mist and hackle surface regions are also fundamentally addressed, as is crack branching. Distinctive crack patterns that evolve during fracture, that is the traces of the cracks intersecting the glass free surfaces, are described. Dicing fragmentation of high-strength tempered glass and the long sword-like shards of low-strength annealed glass fracture are contrasted through their strain energies. Characteristic cracking patterns are reviewed for several common glass fractures including those for pressure breaks, both bottle explosions and flat glass window failures from wind pressure whose basic similarities are described. The patterns of crack branching or forking, the branching angles and the crack length prior to forking, are also discussed. Other glass crack patterns such as those from impact and thermal stress are also considered."
}
"Antifragile Information Systems" by Gorgeon, Arnaud 2015
@inproceedings{ article-se-gorgeon-2015,
booktitle = {Antifragile Information Systems},
title = {Anti-Fragile Information Systems (Completed Research Paper)},
author = {Gorgeon, Arnaud },
organization = {International Conference on Information Systems},
address = {Fort Worth},
year = {2015},
month = {12},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://www.researchgate.net/publication/285288834_Antifragile_Information_Systems}
,
\url{https://aisel.aisnet.org/icis2015/proceedings/BreakoutIdeas/6/}
,
\url{https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/Anti-Fragile-Information-Systems-Gorgeon/62159e3b5591ad850fc2aa402920352d2137d99a}
and
\url{https://bsahely.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/21ba7f06ee170aca94123d9d7f83a8e80466.pdf}
},
abstract={
As complex socio-technical systems composed of many interconnected parts, interactingin non-linear, dynamic, emergent and often unexpected ways Information Systems arefragile. In this paper we introduce the concept of antifragility as an alternative mean ofapprehending the fragility of Information Systems and a novel way of dealing with risk, uncertainty and the unknown. Antifragility is the opposite of fragility. Antifragility allows to go beyond robustness or resilience by moving away from a predictive mode of thinking and decision making to a mode that embraces the unknown and randomness and focuses on the characteristics that render systems fragile rather than trying to assess and predict the chain of events that may harm them. We propose a set of guidelines for moving from the fragile toward the antifragile, and explore, for the processes of the IS function, their applications and the questions they raise for practice and research.
}
}
"The new dynamics of strategy: Sense-making in a complex and complicated world" by Kurtz, Cynthia F and Snowden, David J 2003
@article{ article-kurtz-2003,
title={The new dynamics of strategy: Sense-making in a complex and complicated world},
author={Kurtz, Cynthia F and Snowden, David J},
journal={IBM systems journal},
volume={42},
number={3},
pages={462--483},
year={2003},
publisher={IBM},
note = {
Retrieved from
\url{https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/abstract/document/5386804}
and
\url{https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/c9b427a98caeacb7f5ce1441df89bb1f923c34d7}
},
abstract = {
In this paper, we challenge the universality of three basic assumptions prevalent in organizational decision support and strategy: assumptions of order, of rational choice, and of intent. We describe the Cynefin framework, a sense-making device we have developed to help people make sense of the complexities made visible by the relaxation of these assumptions. The Cynefin framework is derived from several years of action research into the use of narrative and complexity theory in organizational knowledge exchange, decision-making, strategy, and policy-making. The framework is explained, its conceptual underpinnings are outlined, and its use in group sense-making and discourse is described. Finally, the consequences of relaxing the three basic assumptions, using the Cynefin framework as a mechanism, are considered.
}
}
Collection of papers
- Title : Nassim Nicholas Taleb's articles on arXiv
Author :
DOI :
Source : Cornell University https://arxiv.org/a/taleb_n_1.html
Description : Met vewijzing naar wiskundige papers over wat antifragile is en hoe je het toepast
Online Publications (blogs etc)
-
Homepage of Nassim N. Taleb
- Homepage of Nassim N. Taleb - CV
- Homepage of Nassim N. Taleb - Notebook - List of research papers en other resources
- Homepage of Nassim N. Taleb - Real World Risks - Nice venn diagram on research logic math
- Blog - Harvard - Antifragile enterprise microservices architecture
- Blog - Harvard - HBR - Make Your Organization Anti-Fragile by Brad Power
- Blog - Harvard - Microservices
- Blog - Capgemini 1
- Blog - Capgemini 2
- Blog - McKinsey 2
- Thomas Euler - digital-hills - The Antifragile Organization
- Blog - On Antifragility in Systems and Organizational Architecture
- Blog - On Antifragility in Systems and Organizational Architecture
- Blog - Making the Organisation ‘Anti Fragile’ by Amit Namjoshi
- Blog - Embrace the Chaos: Designing for an Antifragile Future
- Blog - manage risk by building antifragile organizational cultures
- Blog - Thinking Matters - Antifragile
- Blog - Farnam Street - Nassim Taleb: A Definition of Antifragile and its Implications
- Blog - Farnam Street - 10 Principles to Live an Antifragile Life
- https://blogs.perficient.com/2018/07/25/antifragile-software-trends/
- https://www.infoq.com/news/2015/02/beyond-agility-antifragility
- "Prologue of the blackswan"
by Nassim N. Taleb 3. Fooledbyrandomness.com - pdf- found via wiki Antifragile
- Blog : "The Regulator Franchise, or the Alan Blinder Problem".
by Nassim N. Taleb- Huffingtonpost.com. 08/02/2010 05:59 pm ET Updated May 25, 2011
- found via wiki Antifragile
-
Blog - 1. "ET Global Business Summit: Nassim Nicholas Taleb on why he agrees with PM Modi's 'small is beautiful' thesis".
- India Times. Retrieved 3 November 2017.
- found via wiki Antifragile]
- Article: "Antifragile Systems [Reflections]" by Robert W. Lucky
- Journal Article published Mar 2013 in IEEE Spectrum volume 50 issue 3 on pages 28 to 28
- DOI: 10.1109/MSPEC.2013.6471053 ; Researchgate ; Publisher ; Publisher - subsite
- found via Google
- Presentation: Antifragility: an introduction for Social Scientists and Policy Makers
- by November 9, 2013 by Sergio Graziosi pptx
- Blog - Medium - Antifragility 101 by Mathias Lafeldt
Doubtfull -- blogs - online publications
- Beyond “Sissy” Resilience: On Becoming Antifragile - Doubtfull page
- Doug Belshaw - Living an antifragile life - 2018-03-10 - doubtfull page
- bsahely - page with random resources
- Quora Question: Is Nassim Nicholas Taleb overrated? Why?
- Search for "a-site randomness effect"
- nassim taleb and 4 ideas for an antifragile organization
- Purpose+ - Antifragile Organisation Design - Internal Research Project
Awesomelist
Collections of tweets and quotes
"Simplicity is prerequisite for reliability." — Edsger W. Dijkstra (https://twitter.com/CodeWisdom/status/996745584097812480?s=03)
"Change a basic assumption and you have changed the system itself." — Eli Goldratt, Theory of Constraints (https://twitter.com/GoldrattBooks/status/994925354610515968?s=03)
Organization Transformation (also management 3.0 drawing) (https://twitter.com/ValaAfshar/status/993515797707403265?s=08)
To Sort
To Sort - Presentations
-
"Antifragile Software Design"
by Hayim Makabee, CEO at KashKlik- Published on Jul 29, 2015
- https://www.slideshare.net/makabee/antifragile-software-design
- found via Google
-
"Presentation: "From 'Agile Hangover' to 'Antifragile Organisations'"
by Russ Miles, Chief Scientist at Simplicity
To Sort - Video
- SIGS DATACOM - Martin Fowler @ OOP2014 "Workflows of Refactoring"
- Stanford eCorner -Nassim Taleb: How Things Gain from Disorder [Entire Talk]
- Lean Enterprise Academy - Lean Summit 2012 - Mike Rother - Toyota Kata
To Sort
- antifragileenterprise.org 2. https://www.antifragileenterprise.org/resources/articles/agile-practice-mappings
- https://www.google.com/search?q=Antifragile+Organisation+Design&newwindow=1&rlz=1C1GGRV_enNL776NL776&ei=69pmXLLPCITfwALnyK-YBw&start=60&sa=N&ved=0ahUKEwjy8LmPh77gAhWEL1AKHWfkC3M4MhDw0wMIjAE&biw=1600&bih=799
- https://aslbislfoundation.org/nl/?wpfb_dl=1198
- https://www.madstonblack.com.sg/anti-fragile-organisations/
- https://www.ronimmink.com/resilience-anti-fragile-navy-seals-master-chefs-stoics-books-read/
- https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/1038184.pdf
- http://hans.wyrdweb.eu/over-anti-fragility/