An estimate of the true number of infections in a country
#hypo_preventive and others are interested in the real number of infected people. There is some mention of it here: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/mrc-gida/2020-03-30-COVID19-Report-13.pdf
Another example here: https://github.com/github/covid19-dashboard/blob/master/_notebooks/2020-03-19-estimating_infected.ipynb
I'm sure there are more papers.
The goal is to:
- Create a notebook that demonstrates the model (preferably with pymc3)
- Create a container with a callable API
- Add a page to the app with a demo