[SPIKE] Investigate alternative caching strategies to reduce Gitaly load while maintaining cache consistency
## Background
This is a follow-up to #556727 to decide the long-term approach for the `ref_existence_check_gitaly` feature flag.
The feature flag has been **fully rolled out to production** and is currently enabled. However, during rollout, we observed significant concerns about the approach's long-term sustainability.
Since we shouldn't maintain long-lived feature flags, we need to determine the best path forward that balances performance, cache consistency, and resource constraints across different deployment types.
## Problem Statement
We're at a crossroads with two infradev issues (#525991, #525992) that depend on removing the Redis cache entirely. However:
* The 10x Gitaly load increase may not be sustainable for self-managed instances with limited resources.
* The infradev issues have low severity/priority with no new reports in over a year.
* Dependent feature flags (#578116, #576403) have been paused pending this investigation.
* We lack clear metrics and testing to validate the impact on non-GitLab.com environments.
## Rollout Findings
During the rollout of `ref_existence_check_gitaly` FF to 50%, we observed:
- **5x increase in `ListRefs` calls** to Gitaly.
- A 100% rollout represents approximately a **10x increase** compared to the cached version.
- After disabling and re-enabling, the pattern confirmed that the load increase is directly tied to this feature.
See [epic discussion](https://gitlab.com/groups/gitlab-org/-/epics/17190#note_2866660454) for metrics and graphs.
### Key Concerns
1. **Gitaly Load Impact**: The 10x increase in `ListRefs` calls are significantly higher than initially expected
2. **Self-Managed Instances**: While GitLab.com infrastructure can handle this load, customer environments may have:
- Less memory for filesystem caching.
- Higher disk read-latency and lower IOPS capacity.
- Different workload patterns that amplify the impact.
3. **Sustainability**: Even though infrastructure can handle it now, this doesn't mean it's the optimal long-term solution.
## Investigation Goals
This spike aims to:
1. **Evaluate alternative caching strategies** that maintain consistency without the 10x increase in Gitaly load.
- Assess the incremental cache approach (#567993) currently enabled in staging
- Explore hybrid caching systems (e.g., cuckoo filter algorithm as suggested in #534121)
- Identify other potential solutions.
2. **Establish testing and metrics framework**
- Use load performance testing in non-production environments (https://docs.gitlab.com/ci/testing/load_performance_testing/).
- Identify key metrics. We need a clear marker of what's improved with this change, and a reference to monitor post-rollout.
3. **Assess risks and tradeoffs** for each approach
- Impact on GitLab.com, self-managed, and dedicated instances.
- Cache consistency guarantees.
- Implementation complexity and maintenance burden.
- Resource requirements (memory, IOPS, network).
4. **Determine rollout strategy**
- Identify which changes are safe to keep and which need to be reverted.
- Define testing requirements before production rollout.
- Establish monitoring and rollback criteria.
### Options to Consider
<details>
<summary>
**Option A: Keep current approach (cache removal)**
</summary>
- :white_check_mark: Feature flag is already rolled out to 100%
- :white_check_mark: Solves cache consistency issues (#539287, #572341)
- :white_check_mark: Simpler codebase without cache complexity
- :x: 10x increase in Gitaly load
- :x: Potential performance issues for self-managed instances
- Next step: Clean up feature flag and remove caching code
</details>
<details>
<summary>
**Option B: Revert and explore the incremental cache approach**
</summary>
- :white_check_mark: Avoids the 10x Gitaly load increase
- :white_check_mark: Reduces pressure on Redis
- :white_check_mark: Better for self-managed instances with limited resources
- :x: Might introduce hard-to-debug cache consistency issues
- :x: More complex implementation
- Next step: Disable feature flag, investigate #567993
</details>
<details>
<summary>
**Option C: Hybrid approach**
</summary>
- Keep feature flag, but don't enable by default for self-managed
- Allow GitLab.com to use direct Gitaly calls
- Allow self-managed instances to opt in if they have sufficient resources
- Investigate incremental cache improvements for the default behavior
</details>
### Questions to Answer
1. Do we have data on the performance of self-managed instances with this change?
2. What is the acceptable threshold for Gitaly load increase?
3. Can we implement the incremental cache approach (#567993) without introducing cache consistency bugs?
4. Should we consider a TTL-based approach with shorter expiration windows?
5. What is the long-term vision for reference caching in GitLab?
### Related Issues
- Parent epic: #17190
- Rollout issue: #556727
- Alternative approach: #567993
- Related bugs: #539287, #572341
## Decision
_To be filled in after discussion_
## Next Steps
- [ ] Review rollout metrics and impact analysis
- [ ] Discuss options with team and stakeholders
- [ ] Make decision on long-term approach
- [ ] Create implementation issue(s) based on decision
- [ ] Update #556727 with decision and next steps
issue
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